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How Not to Be Wrong

How Not to Be Wrong
作者:Jordan Ellenberg
副标题:The Power of Mathematical Thinking
出版社:Penguin Press
出版年:2014-05
ISBN:9781594205224
行业:其它
浏览数:7

内容简介

The Freakonomics of math—a math-world superstar unveils the hidden beauty and logic of the world and puts its power in our hands

The math we learn in school can seem like a dull set of rules, laid down by the ancients and not to be questioned. In How Not to Be Wrong, Jordan Ellenberg shows us how terribly limiting this view is: Math isn’t confined to abstract incidents that never occur in real life, but rather touches everything we do—the whole world is shot through with it.

Math allows us to see the hidden structures underneath the messy and chaotic surface of our world. It’s a science of not being wrong, hammered out by centuries of hard work and argument. Armed with the tools of mathematics, we can see through to the true meaning of information we take for granted: How early should you get to the airport? What does “public opinion” really represent? Why do tall parents have shorter children? Who really won Florida in 2000? And how likely are you, really, to develop cancer?

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作者简介

Jordan Ellenberg is a professor of mathematics at the University of Wisconsin-Madison, with a Ph.D. in mathematics from Harvard and an MFA in creative writing from Johns Hopkins. His areas of research specialization are number theory and algebraic geometry. He has written articles on mathematical topics in the New York Times, the Washington Post, Wired, the Wall Street Journal, the Boston Globe, and the Believer, and is a regular columnist for Slate.

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目录

CONTENTS

Title Page

Copyright

Dedication

Epigraph

WHEN AM I GOING TO USE THIS?

PART I

Linearity

One. LESS LIKE SWEDEN

Two. STRAIGHT LOCALLY, CURVED GLOBALLY

Three. EVERYONE IS OBESE

Four. HOW MUCH IS THAT IN DEAD AMERICANS?

Five. MORE PIE THAN PLATE

PART II

Inference

Six. THE BALTIMORE STOCKBROKER AND THE BIBLE CODE

Seven. DEAD FISH DON’T READ MINDS

Eight. REDUCTIO AD UNLIKELY

Nine. THE INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF HARUSPICY

Ten. ARE YOU THERE, GOD? IT’S ME, BAYESIAN INFERENCE

PART III

Expectation

Eleven. WHAT TO EXPECT WHEN YOU’RE EXPECTING TO WIN THE LOTTERY

Twelve. MISS MORE PLANES!

Thirteen. WHERE THE TRAIN TRACKS MEET

PART IV

Regression

Fourteen. THE TRIUMPH OF MEDIOCRITY

Fifteen. GALTON’S ELLIPSE

Sixteen. DOES LUNG CANCER MAKE YOU SMOKE CIGARETTES?

PART V

Existence

Seventeen. THERE IS NO SUCH THING AS PUBLIC OPINION

Eighteen. “OUT OF NOTHING I HAVE CREATED A STRANGE NEW UNIVERSE”

HOW TO BE RIGHT

Acknowledgments

Notes

Index

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读书文摘

大数定律不会对已经发生的情况进行平衡,而是利用新的数据来削弱它的影响力,直至前面的结果从比例上看影响力非常小,可以忽略不计

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